WMUR/UNH poll shows Shaheen with 8-point lead over Brown

DURHAM – The latest WMUR Granite State poll conducted by the UNH Survey Center has Sen. Jeanne Shaheen with a eight percentage point lead over Republican challenger Scott Brown – the first poll in several months to show the race so lopsided.


Shaheen leads in the poll 47 to 39 percent, with 14 percent undecided. And when undecided voters are asked who they “lean” toward supporting, Shaheen leads, 50 to 42 percent.


The survey center says that only 65 percent of the polling sample has “definitely made up their minds” on the hot race.


UNH surveyed 677 randomly selected adults from Oct. 22 to 26, and within that group 555 described themselves as likely voters.


The margin of error for the poll was 4.2 percent, the survey center said. Yet, it said the results still had the race “within the poll’s margin of error.”  UNH pollster Andrew Smith said the margin, 4.2 percent, applies to each number.



In UNH’s previous poll on Oct. 5, Shaheen led 47 to 41 percent, and its poll in August had up her 46 to 44 percent.


Other polls including one this week by New England College, for NH1, have had the race as a virtual dead heat. The NEC poll on Monday had Brown up, 48.3 to 46.8 percent.


In terms of party registration, UNH said the polling same broke down as 48 percent undeclared, 26 percent Democratic and 26 percent Republican. When those surveyed were asked which party they identified with, 40 percent said Democratic, 38 percent said Republican and 22 percent said independent.


View the full poll results by clicking here.

Author: John DiStaso

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