Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney remains in a commanding position in the first-in-the-nation primary state while Texas Gov. Rick Perry makes a strong first showing in the latest NH Journal survey conducted by Magellan Strategies.
Meanwhile, Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann appears not to have experienced a bump from her victory at the Ames, IA straw poll conducted last weekend. In fact 84% of respondents said the Ames straw poll results have no impact on their decision to support a candidate.
On the ballot Romney remains in a strong position. He leads all candidates with 36% of the vote. However, Perry, making his first appearance in the NH Journal poll, debuts with a strong 18%. Ron Paul continues to impress despite relatively little media attention with 14%. And Bachmann earns 10%. All other candidates were in single digits.
Among all voters surveyed Romney remains very popular with a favorable rating of 66% and an unfavorable rating of 24%. Perry also has a significantly favorable image ratio of 51% F / 27% U.
Other candidates though are seeing their negative image ratings rise. Bachmann is still more popular than not with a 49% favorable rating. But 39% say they have an unfavorable opinion of her. Meanwhile, former Obama administration official Jon Huntsman (20% F / 47% U), former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (29% F / 60% U), Texas Rep. Ron Paul (39% F / 47% U) and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum (30% F / 42% U) each have more respondents who say they don’t like them than do. Herm Cain breaks about even with a 36% favorable rating versus 34% unfavorable.
The case of Bachmann is especially interesting. She remains very popular among self-identified conservatives with a 62% Favorable rating and a 28% Unfavorable rating. But it is a completely different story among Independents, 51% of who view her Unfavorably, while only 40% view her Favorably. The split in the voting public’s view of Bachmann demonstrates the uniquely complex texture of the New Hampshire electorate
The topline results and crosstabs are published below.
The survey was conducted on August 15 and August 16 among 613 New Hampshire Republicans and Republican-leaning independent likely voters. The survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.96% at the 95 percent confidence interval.