Poll for pro-Keystone group shows Shaheen with narrow lead over Brown

By JOHN DiSTASO, News Editor

CONCORD – Jeanne Shaheen and Scott Brown remain locked in a close battle for the New Hampshire U.S. Senate seat, a new poll shows.

Shaheen leads Brown 49 to 43 percent among 400 likely voters surveyed by  Hickman Analytics April 24-30 on behalf of Consumer Energy Alliance, a group of more than 140 businesses, business associations and energy industry firms. The group is strongly in favor of completion of the Keystone KXL Pipeline, which is under consideration in the U.S. Senate.

With the poll’s margin of error at 4.9 percent, the result puts a possible general election matchup between Shaheen and Brown almost in a statistical dead heat.

Shaheen led among registered Democrats, 90 to 6 percent, while Brown led among registered Republicans, 78 to 17 percent. Independents were split, 44 to 43 percent in favor of Shaheen.

Shaheen led among women, 59 to 34 percent, while Brown led among men, 53 to 38 percent.

And, as reported in our related story, if President Barack Obama delays the presidential permit to construct the Keystone pipeline, 34 percent of those polled said they would be less likely to support Shaheen, 17 percent said more likely and 43 percent said it would make no difference.

NHJournal.com obtained exclusive initial access to the poll, which is scheduled to be formally released Tuesday night.

According to the poll, 38 percent of those who responded said they were registered independents, 30 percent said they were registered Republicans and 28 percent said they were registered Democrats.

The polled showed Granite State voters have a more favorable impression of Shaheen than Brown. (Brown’s Republican primary opponents, Jim Rubens, Bob Smith, Karen Testerman and Andy Martin were not included in the poll.)

Shaheen was viewed favorably by 53 percent of those polled and unfavorably by 38 percent.  Brown was viewed favorably by 39 percent and unfavorably by 42 percent.

Meanwhile, President Obama was viewed favorably by 45 percent and unfavorably by 53 percent.

In a separate question, Gov. Maggie Hassan outpolled Republican challenger Andrew Hemingway 50 to 28 percent. GOP candidate Walt Havenstein was not included in the poll.

On the Senate race, in addition to polling Shaheen versus Brown, voters were also asked whether they would most likely vote to have Shaheen serve another term or instead “replace her with a Republican.” And 47 percent chose Shaheen, while 42 percent chose a Republican.



The poll’s full results can be viewed below:

NH Topline & Tables

Author: John DiStaso

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  • Richard Mayhew

    first glance, it looks like Shaheen is in good shape as she is beating Generic Republican decisively and Brown is not doing better than generic Repbulican