NH GOP Chair race remains close
An updated analysis by NH Journal shows that the race to become the next Chair of the New Hampshire Republican State Committee remains very tight, and is likely to be a real nail-biter until the votes are counted on Saturday.
At time of writing, Cheshire County GOP Chair Juliana Bergeron has 100 votes committed to her, and Seacoast businessman and Tea Party activist Jack Kimball has 81 votes.
The analysis includes publicly announced endorsements aggregated with the results of two exclusive phone canvasses of committee members performed by NH Journal. The phone canvasses were conducted on January 4th and 18th.
These results indicate that Bergeron has opened up a slight lead since NH Journal’s last analysis, which put Bergeron and Kimball in a dead heat with 58 and 57 votes respectively.
Bergeron has led Kimball in public endorsements since the start of the campaign, but she now seems to be making gains in unannounced supporters as well. In NH Journal’s January 18th phone canvass, 24 out of 40 new respondents said they would be casting their vote for Bergeron, whereas the previous canvass had Kimball raking in 49 out of 73 votes.
There are 493 voting members of the Republican State Committee, so there remain 312 undecided or undeclared voters, which are more than enough to make this race still too close to call. The vote to choose the next NH GOP Chair will be held this Saturday, January 22nd.
NH Journal also canvassed responding committee members on where they think the next Chair’s focus should be. Fifty percent want to see a focus on building the party’s grassroots organization, twenty-four percent think fundraising should be the priority, eighteen percent say candidate recruitment comes first, and eight percent think the Chair should lobby the legislature to promote the party’s policy agenda.