NEC poll: Havenstein moves to dead heat with Hassan; Senate, 1st District races stay close

The latest New England College poll, released this evening, shows that suddenly Republican candidate for governor Walt Havenstein has turned an 8 percentage point deficit into a virtual tie.


The NEC poll, completed for NH1 News, shows Hassan ahead of Havenstein, but only by 47.2 to 46.9 percent, well within the 2.9 percent margin of error. Last week’s poll had Hassan at 50.7 percent and Havenstein at 42.5 percent.


In the U.S. Senate race, the NEC poll is consistent with its poll last week. Republican Scott Brown leads Sen. Jeanne Shaheen 48.3 to 46.8 percent also within the margin of error. Last week, Brown led, 47.7 to 47.3 percent.


There were two polls out tonight on the 1st District U.S. Senate race. The NEC poll showed Republican challenger Frank Guinta has opened a small lead on U.S. Rep. Carol Shea-Porter, 49 to 42.9 percent. Last week’s NEC poll had Guinta leading Shea-Porter, 47.4 to 45.7 percent. The margin of error is 4.1 percent.



Also tonight, a Granite State Poll conducted for WMUR television by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center showed Guinta and Shea-Porter close but Shea-Porter ahead, 44 to 40 percent, just outside of the 3.8 percent margin of error.



NEC’s poll of the 2nd Congressional District race showed U.S. Rep. Ann Kuster leading Republican challenger Marilinda Garcia, 49.2 to 42 percent, outside of the 4.1 percent margin of error.


Last week, Kuster led Garcia, 48.7 to 43.2 percent.


For the NEC poll results click here.

For the results of the UNH poll of the 1st District, click here.

Author: John DiStaso

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