GOP pollster shows Brown leading Shaheen and Hassan leading Havenstein, both by 47-43 percent

A Republican polling firm has Republican U.S. Senate challenger Scott Brown narrowly ahead of Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen in a survey conducted Sept. 15 and 16 of 550 “active” New Hampshire voters.


Vox Populi Polling said Brown leads Shaheen, 47 to 43 percent. Click here for the poll results.


Separately, the poll shows a close race for governor, with Gov. Maggie Hassan leading Republican challenger Walt Havenstein by the same margin of 47 to 43 percent.


Vox Populi is headed by a group of six Republican partners, including Mary Cheney, the daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney, and Steve DeMaura, a former executive director of the New Hampshire Republican Party and president of Americans for Job Security.


As expected, Democrats questioned the reliability of a poll completed by a GOP group, just as Republicans usually question poll completed by Democratic firms.


Republicans pointed out today, however, that Vox Populi’s earlier poll of the Senate race, conducted in May, showed Shaheen ahead of Brown, 47 to 35 percent.


University of New Hampshire polling in April had Shaheen ahead of Brown, 45 to 39 percent.


The May Vox Populi poll showed Hassan ahead of Havenstein by 13 percentage points.


The new Vox Populi poll joined a long list of recent polls with differing results.


A UNH poll in August showed Shaheen up by 2 percentage points.


Earlier this week, a CNN/ORC poll had Brown and Shaheen in a dead heat, while a Democratic poll commissioned by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee showed Shaheen leading Brown by 8 percentage points.


A Republican poll completed for Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire showed Brown leading, 45.9 to 44.3 percent.


Also, Real Clear Politics Monday moved the Shaheen-Brown race from “leans Democratic” to “Toss Up.”


Then on Wednesday Rasmussen Reports issued a poll showing Shaheen leading by 6 percentage points. Thursday, a poll by New England College for NH 1 had Shaheen up by 11 percentage points. The NEC poll had Hassan over Havenstein by 15 percentage points.


Vox Populi said its new poll included 100 percent registered voters “taken from a listed sample of registered voters who voted in the 2010 or 2012 general election or registered since the 2012 general election.” It said the margin of error is +/- 4.2 percent.


Vox Populi said 30 percent of those polled “identify with” the Republican Party, 28 percent with the Democratic Party and 42 percent, independent. Fifty-three percent were women and 47 percent were men.

Author: John DiStaso

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  • jerseycity

    This is just the power of name recognition.

    Walt Havenstein is the best candidate for Governor from either party modern times.

    In essence the job of Governor is an administrative job. If you don’t have
    extensive administrative experience,
    you really have no right having the job.

    If a grand uncle died and left you a company, which person would you choose to run it.
    A lawyer with virtually no business background,
    a guy who has been successful for forty years in business, having been a CEO of Billion$$$$ firms.
    Walt Havenstein…