GOP pollster shows Brown within 5 percentage points of Shaheen

CONCORD — A Republican pollster has found that GOP candidate for the U.S. Senate is within five percentage points of Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen.


Magellan Strategies on Wednesday released the results of an automated survey of 1,618 likely New Hampshire voters on behalf of the conservative advocacy group Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire.


The poll showed Shaheen with 46 percent and Brown at 41.1 percent, with 12.9 percent undecided. The pollster says its survey has a margin of error of 2.43 percent.


A recent poll on behalf of WMUR by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center showed Shaheen leading Brown, 50 to 42 percent. A poll last week by NBC News and Marist had a closer margin, with Shaheen leading Brown, 50 to 42 percent.


The pollster said 35 percent of its sample were Republicans, 30 percent were Democrats and 36 percent were independents.


“The survey results have been weighted to better reflect the likely demographic characteristics of previous mid-term elections,” the pollster wrote in its polling memo. “Based on an analysis of the last four election cycles, mid-term election year demographics tend to be more favorable to Republican candidates. While presidential election year demographics are generally more favorable to Democratic candidates.”


The GOP-leaning pollster, however, found Brown is “under water” regarding how he is viewed by voters. Brown was viewed unfavorably by 43 percent and favorably by 34.5 percent. Shaheen was viewed unfavorably by 43 percent and favorably by 46.9 percent.
The poll has President Barack Obama with a 36 percent approval, while 56 percent disapprove of the job he is doing.

Author: John DiStaso

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