A new poll provided exclusively to the New Hampshire Journal today shows a continued tight U.S. Senate race in the Granite State, but with Republican Scott Brown ahead of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen by four percentage points.
The poll by the Republican pollster Vox Populi Polling has Brown up 49 to 45 percent, with 6 percent undecided. When “leaners” are excluded, Brown leads, 42 to 36 percent.
The margin of error for the poll is 3.9 percent, and 544-person sample breaks down as 38 percent self-described independents, 34 percent self-described Republicans and 27 percent self-described Democrats.
Vox Populi Polling, launched in the spring of this year, is headed by a group of six Republican partners, including Mary Cheney, the daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney, and Steve DeMaura, a former executive director of the New Hampshire Republican Party and president of Americans for Job Security.
For the poll results, click here. And for the crosstabs, click here.
The poll sample was 52.5 percent women and 47.5 percent men. Shaheen led among women, 49 to 45 percent, while Brown led among men, 54 to 40.6 percent.
According to the Vox Populi, 60 percent of those polled disapproved of President Barack Obama’s job performance, while 40 percent approved.
The top issue driving voters’ decisions on who to support is jobs and the economy, at 20 percent; followed by health care/Affordable Care Act, at 14 percent; Obama’s job performance, 13 percent; and budget and taxes, 11 percent.
Forty-four percent of those polled described the ACA as a “failure,” while 25 percent called it a success, and 31 percent said it was “something in between.”
The poll also showed that 60 percent of those polled were either strongly or somewhat confident in the ability of the federal government “to deal with the Ebola crisis,” while 37 percent had no confidence.
In September, a Vox Populi poll had Brown ahead, 47 to 43 percent, while in May the group had Shaheen up, 47 to 35 percent.