CONCORD – A new Granite State 2016 presidential poll has found that while Republicans remains scattered on their choice of a 2016 nominee, Democrats favor Hillary Clinton while being open to an alternative.
The poll by the GOP firm Vox Populi Polling found that 44 percent of Democratic voters surveyed said they would be supportive of Clinton but open to someone else, while 36 percent said they would be strongly supportive of her and 20 percent said someone else should run.
On the Republican side, there was a virtual three-way tie with Rand Paul at 14 percent, and Chris Christie and Jeb Bush at 13 percent each. They are followed by Mike Huckabee and Ted Cruz at 8 percent each, Paul Ryan at 6 percent, Marco Rubio at 5 percent, and Rick Perry and Scott Walker at 4 percent each. Twenty-five percent said they favored “someone else.”
According to the pollster, some GOP primary voters are interested in a “non-traditional” candidate, such as Alan Mullaly, the former CEO of Boeing and Ford Motor Company; 44 percent said they would consider voting for him while 56 percent would not.
The poll was taken on Sept. 15 and 16 of 550 registered voters, taken from a listed sample of registered voters who voted in the 2010 or 2012 general election or registered since the 2012 general election. The pollster said the margin of error is +/- 4.2 percent.
For the results of this poll and an earlier poll on the U.S. Senate and governor’s races, click here
Vox Populi Polling, launched in the spring of this year, is headed by a group of six Republican partners, including Mary Cheney, the daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney, and Steve DeMaura, a former executive director of the New Hampshire Republican Party and president of Americans for Job Security.
According to the poll results, 42 percent of those polled described themselves as independents, while 30 percent said they “identify with” the GOP and 28 percent said they “identify with” the Democratic Party.
Also, 62 percent of the independents polled said they would vote in the Republican primary, while 38 percent of independents said they would vote in the Democratic primary, perhaps signaling that – at the moment, at least – New Hampshire independents are more excited about the prospect of a closely contested GOP battle than the prospect of a Democratic campaign in which Clinton is expected to be the clear front-runner.
A review of the numbers indicates that on the GOP side, Bush appears to be the front-runner among “traditional” Republicans, with 77 percent of his voters describing themselves as Republicans. Rand Paul and Ted Cruz each get nearly two-thirds of their support from those describing themselves as independents.
Chris Christie gets about half of his support from self-described Republicans and about half from independents. Independents who vote Republican are typically either moderates or people who identify with the Tea Party.
Paul and Cruz do well among young voters, age 18 to 29, getting 18 and 12 percent of that group, respectively, while no other candidate is in double digits. Among seniors, Jeb Bush is the clear favorite with 19 percent of the vote.
The Democratic numbers prompted Vox Populi Polling spokesman Lisa Boothe to conclude, “With all signs pointing to a 2016 Hillary Clinton run, she may have some trouble in the Granite State.”
She said the majority of Democratic voters “are open to a Clinton alternative. The Republican primary is anyone’s game, with Chris Christie, Rand Paul and Jeb Bush deadlocked in a virtual tie.”
Clinton won the 2008 New Hampshire first-in-the-nation presidential primary over Barack Obama.